Latinos and Reapportionment

US county map showing share of Hispanic population

Source: Census Bureau (via The Atlantic).

Chris Good argues at The Atlantic that the recent reapportionment of seats in the House of Representatives, based on data from the 2010 Census, may spell trouble for the Republicans in the longer-term. At first glance, solidly Republican states (Texas and Arizona, for example) are gaining seats. But, Good speculates that an increase in these states’ Latino populations is the main reason for the rise in their relative population (Census will release the relevant 2010 ethnicity data in early 2011). Since Latinos vote in landslide proportions for Democrats (Pew shows them voting 60-70 percent for Democrats in the 2006 and 2010 Congressional elections, for example), these trends could come back to bite Republicans down the road.

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